Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 14.962967 17.448010 20.155211 23.315334 26.894368 30.813360 35.420405
2025-05-04 11.004040 14.457395 18.606019 23.915903 30.486160 38.300903 48.245783
2025-05-11 8.434884 12.208318 17.109675 23.849023 32.766978 44.044111 59.244059
2025-05-18 6.610511 10.411724 15.692708 23.406378 34.195756 48.534334 68.767560
2025-05-25 5.285442 8.992165 14.463657 22.894495 35.269635 52.430144 77.601692
2025-06-01 4.281694 7.832149 13.376513 22.347299 36.098875 55.901590 85.952660
2025-06-08 3.379953 6.647771 12.043009 21.197721 35.827939 57.663245 91.871613
2025-06-15 3.037338 6.338469 12.039566 22.086915 38.678451 64.140120 105.022136
2025-06-22 2.675712 5.923653 11.787854 22.511985 40.790007 69.596498 116.940044
2025-06-29 2.251906 5.308088 11.089958 22.077270 41.421710 72.745661 125.452599
2025-07-06 1.844259 4.641796 10.196368 21.173708 41.144603 74.370880 131.600391
2025-07-13 1.741464 4.598751 10.474415 22.417579 44.657687 82.372736 148.405699
2025-07-20 1.630930 4.543034 10.767326 23.813479 48.727696 91.853557 168.692272
2025-07-27 1.444382 4.279793 10.614514 24.362193 51.369917 99.201220 186.091260
2025-08-03 1.234582 3.910038 10.176304 24.283089 52.826646 104.588354 200.509912
2025-08-10 1.033278 3.509155 9.598665 23.831538 53.504408 108.608394 212.773738
2025-08-17 0.861503 3.140779 9.028658 23.311285 53.973819 112.247153 224.539700
2025-08-24 0.716466 2.806976 8.479490 22.755426 54.297049 115.603471 235.953566
2025-08-31 0.568725 2.416412 7.711792 21.587670 53.216980 116.199824 242.320711
2025-09-07 0.527080 2.363350 7.818138 22.490926 56.614170 125.620824 265.557169
2025-09-14 0.472376 2.248351 7.735779 22.922691 59.014402 133.222019 285.746410
2025-09-21 0.396982 2.031440 7.325610 22.481128 59.427328 136.878773 298.585747
2025-09-28 0.320581 1.780069 6.762092 21.563273 58.659699 138.072055 306.690128